Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription or Fee Access

Bayesian State Space Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Rainfall Disaggregation

S. Astutik, N Iriawan, G. Nair, Suhartono , Sutikno

Abstract


With the aim of generating a finer time scale data from a coarser time scale observations, the paper develops a rainfall disaggregation method as a combination of Bayesian state-space modeling and the adjusting procedure. The method uses spatio-tempral model incorporating the cross-covariance structure between spatial observation sites. The paper develops algorithms for estimating the parameters in terms of Bayesian method, and for generating finer time scale data with and without adjusting procedure. The model and the computation methods are applied to spatio-temporal rainfall observation data from two rain gages in Sampean Watershed, Bondowoso, Indonesia. Simulation study demonstrates that the Bayesian state space model with adjusting procedure performs better than the model without adjusting procedure, in terms of preserving some of the important data characteristics.

Keywords


Bayesian state space model; adjusting procedure; spatio-temporal model; disaggregation algorithm; rainfall data.

Full Text:

PDF


Disclaimer/Regarding indexing issue:

We have provided the online access of all issues and papers to the indexing agencies (as given on journal web site). It’s depend on indexing agencies when, how and what manner they can index or not. Hence, we like to inform that on the basis of earlier indexing, we can’t predict the today or future indexing policy of third party (i.e. indexing agencies) as they have right to discontinue any journal at any time without prior information to the journal. So, please neither sends any question nor expects any answer from us on the behalf of third party i.e. indexing agencies.Hence, we will not issue any certificate or letter for indexing issue. Our role is just to provide the online access to them. So we do properly this and one can visit indexing agencies website to get the authentic information. Also: DOI is paid service which provided by a third party. We never mentioned that we go for this for our any journal. However, journal have no objection if author go directly for this paid DOI service.